As a tenuous ceasefire took hold in Gaza this month, Israel launched more air strikes on southern Lebanon – 11 months into a ceasefire there.

The bombardment of a construction equipment business killed a Syrian passer-by, wounded seven people including two women, and destroyed millions of dollars’ worth of bulldozers and excavators.

The October 11 strikes would be an anomaly in most countries not at war. But near-daily Israeli attacks have become the new normal in Lebanon, nearly a year after a US-brokered truce halted the latest conflict between Israel and Hezbollah.

Some see a likely blueprint for the Gaza ceasefire, with ongoing but lower intensity conflicts. On Sunday, Israel struck Gaza after it said Hamas fired at its troops, in the first major test of the US-brokered truce.

Mona Yacoubian, director of the Middle East programme at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies think tank, described the Lebanon scenario as a “lessfire” rather than a ceasefire.

Lebanon “could well serve as the model for Gaza, essentially giving leeway to Israeli forces to strike whenever they deem a threat without a full resumption of conflict,” she said.